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Thursday, November 30, 2023

NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 13, 2023: Model loving Buccaneers, Jaguars - CBS Sports

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Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos have won five consecutive games after securing an impressive 29-12 victory over the Cleveland Browns last week. The Broncos will try to win their sixth straight when they visit C.J. Stroud the Houston Texans on Sunday. According to the latest Week 13 NFL odds, Denver is a 3.5-point underdog. The Broncos are 4-1 in their last five meetings with Houston, making this a game many bettors will target when locking in their Week 13 NFL bets. Elsewhere in the NFL spreads, Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles are three-point underdogs at home against Christian McCaffrey and the San Francisco 49ers. All of the Week 13 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 13 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season and is 22-8 straight-up the last two weeks.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 13 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 13 NFL predictions

We can tell you one of the model's strongest Week 13 NFL picks is that the Buccaneers (-5.5) cover at home against the Panthers. The Panthers became the latest team to fire their head coach in the middle of the season following a 1-10 start. Carolina has also struggled against Tampa Bay in recent years, losing seven of the last 10 meetings with the Buccaneers. Carolina's offense has been stagnant all season, ranking 29th in points per game (15.7).

The Buccaneers, meanwhile, have won five of their last six games at home against the Panthers. Tampa Bay is averaging 304.1 yards per game on offense and wide receiver Mike Evans continues to be a mismatch for opposing defenders. Evans has recorded at least one touchdown reception in five of his last six games and torched the Panthers for 207 yards and three touchdowns at home last season. SportsLine's model is projecting Tampa Bay to secure a comfortable win at home as the Buccaneers cover the spread in over 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

Another one of its Week 13 NFL predictions: The Jaguars (-8.5) cover the spread at home versus the Bengals on Monday. The loss of Joe Burrow (wrist) was apparent both on the scoreboard and on the stat sheet in Cincy's Week 12 loss to the Steelers. Pittsburgh didn't fear the Bengals' passing game, so it loaded up to stop the run and held Cincinnati to 25 rushing yards. That's the third-fewest by the Bengals in their 56-year history of the franchise.

Expect a similar game plan by the Jags, who already own the No. 4 run defense in the league. The model projects Joe Mixon to be held under 3.5 yards per carry, which will put too much pressure on inexperienced QB Jake Browning. He's expected to have the same number of interceptions as touchdowns, which was the case last week when Cincinnati scored only 10 points. SportsLine's model has the Jags winning Monday's game by double-digits and covering as 8-point favorites well over 50% of the time. With Cincy not contributing much to the point total, the model also has the Under (39) hitting in over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 13 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 13 NFL schedule and just revealed another highly-coveted A-rated pick. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which A-rated pick should you lock in now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.

Week 13 NFL odds, lines, spreads

Get full NFL picks at SportsLine

Thursday, Nov. 30

Seahawks at Cowboys (-9, 47.5)

Sunday, Dec. 3

Chargers at Patriots (+5.5, 40.5)

Lions at Saints (+4, 47)

Falcons at Jets (+2.5, 34)

Cardinals at Steelers (-5.5, 41)

Colts at Titans (+1, 43)

Dolphins at Commanders (+9.5, 49.5)

Broncos at Texans (-3.5, 47)

Panthers at Buccaneers (-5.5, 37)

49ers at Eagles (+3, 47.5)

Browns at Rams (-3.5, 40)

Chiefs at Packers (+6, 42.5)

Monday, Dec. 4

Bengals at Jaguars (-8.5, 38)

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NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 13, 2023: Model loving Buccaneers, Jaguars - CBS Sports
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