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Sunday, December 31, 2023

Ravens dismantle Dolphins in 56-19 blowout to clinch AFC top seed - WBAL TV Baltimore

Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson silenced many of his critics with a five-touchdown performance in a 56-19 blowout of the Miami Dolphins to clinch the top seed in the AFC. Baltimore improves their record to (13-3) as they will be the No. 1 seed for the first time since the 2019 season. The AFC playoffs will come through M&T Bank Stadium as they will have home-field advantage throughout. This was another statement game for the Ravens as they have beaten two of the better teams in the NFL over the past couple of weeks. "(I) couldn’t be more proud of this football team (and) couldn't be more proud of the fans. Our fans were there. They were into it. It was loud. It was loud from the opening bell. Even with the adversity early in the game, our fans didn’t blink. They did a great job. I’m proud of them. I’m proud of the team. I feel like … I don’t if I’ve seen a more impressive performance in a game," Ravens head coach John Harbaugh said.The 56 points is the most the Ravens have scored since 2019 when they scored 59 points, also against the Dolphins. Jackson solidified his MVP chances as he finished 18-21 with 321 yards and five touchdowns. The highlight of the game came on a 75-yard touchdown bomb to rookie Zay Flowers, who finished with 106 yards on only three catches. Running back Justice Hill was an unsung hero with his best game of the season with 112 total yards and a 78-yard kickoff return to start the second half."Justice (Hill) is a starting running back, too. He played that way. He was romping and stomping. (It was) just big play after big play. (It was) so impressive. He’s that kind of a back," Harbaugh said, "So many players in this league work so hard, and then an opportunity doesn’t come. But, when an opportunity comes, to see guys step up the way they have like Justice did and other guys have – as a coach, that's everything."The Defense gave up some yards but kept the Dolphins out of the end zone and came up with a couple of timely turnovers, including forcing Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa into two interceptions. He was also sacked three times, with Justin Madubuike adding another to his team lead of 13 sacks. Roquan Smith made an impressive one-handed interception before halftime that really turned the momentum in the Ravens favor. The Dolphins were only down eight and were driving into Ravens territory before the pic, and Smith's 30-yard return would set up an Isaiah Likely touchdown to make the game 28-13. "It was kind of funny, because I think it was on the first or second drive, when (No.) 10 (Tyreek Hill) caught it to our right, and on the 'Marlo' (Marlon Humphrey) one, I saw it then, and I was like, 'I didn't get there fast enough.' So, I was like, 'Crap' thinking about it, and I was like, 'If I get that again …' And then I knew it had to be an in-breaking route, so I said, 'I'm going to just run,' and then I ran. I couldn't believe it; I saw it. I was like, 'Crap, let me stick this arm out,' and that's what happened," Smith said.Smith wasn't the only player making one-handed catches as both Likely and fullback Patrick Ricard made one-handed touchdown catches. Odell Beckham Jr. wasn't left out and made a "vintage Odell" sideline catch in the second quarter to set up another touchdown. "Just make the play. To me, it feels like a routine play that there's no way I shouldn't make (it). You have to make the most of your opportunities. There are so many people to feed on this team. (You) never know when it's going to spin to you, so (I'm) just finding a way to make the most of my opportunities whenever they come. I have to take a look back at it again; I didn't even know why we were reviewing it. I thought it was a for sure (catch)," Beckham said.The Ravens will have to wait to see how the rest of the AFC playoff picture develops but they have guaranteed at least one home playoff game.Up NextThe Ravens will host the Pittsburgh Steelers in a divisional matchup that will have no effect on the Ravens playoff seeding in a meaningless game for them. They will most likely sit most of their starters as they try to get healthy for a long playoff run.

BALTIMORE —

Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson silenced many of his critics with a five-touchdown performance in a 56-19 blowout of the Miami Dolphins to clinch the top seed in the AFC.

Baltimore improves their record to (13-3) as they will be the No. 1 seed for the first time since the 2019 season. The AFC playoffs will come through M&T Bank Stadium as they will have home-field advantage throughout. This was another statement game for the Ravens as they have beaten two of the better teams in the NFL over the past couple of weeks.

"(I) couldn’t be more proud of this football team (and) couldn't be more proud of the fans. Our fans were there. They were into it. It was loud. It was loud from the opening bell. Even with the adversity early in the game, our fans didn’t blink. They did a great job. I’m proud of them. I’m proud of the team. I feel like … I don’t if I’ve seen a more impressive performance in a game," Ravens head coach John Harbaugh said.

ravens win over dolphins 56-19

APAP/Nick Wass

Ravens clinch AFC with 56-29 blowout over Dolphins

The 56 points is the most the Ravens have scored since 2019 when they scored 59 points, also against the Dolphins. Jackson solidified his MVP chances as he finished 18-21 with 321 yards and five touchdowns. The highlight of the game came on a 75-yard touchdown bomb to rookie Zay Flowers, who finished with 106 yards on only three catches. Running back Justice Hill was an unsung hero with his best game of the season with 112 total yards and a 78-yard kickoff return to start the second half.

"Justice (Hill) is a starting running back, too. He played that way. He was romping and stomping. (It was) just big play after big play. (It was) so impressive. He’s that kind of a back," Harbaugh said, "So many players in this league work so hard, and then an opportunity doesn’t come. But, when an opportunity comes, to see guys step up the way they have like Justice did and other guys have – as a coach, that's everything."

The Defense gave up some yards but kept the Dolphins out of the end zone and came up with a couple of timely turnovers, including forcing Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa into two interceptions. He was also sacked three times, with Justin Madubuike adding another to his team lead of 13 sacks.

Roquan Smith made an impressive one-handed interception before halftime that really turned the momentum in the Ravens favor. The Dolphins were only down eight and were driving into Ravens territory before the pic, and Smith's 30-yard return would set up an Isaiah Likely touchdown to make the game 28-13.

"It was kind of funny, because I think it was on the first or second drive, when (No.) 10 (Tyreek Hill) caught it to our right, and on the 'Marlo' (Marlon Humphrey) one, I saw it then, and I was like, 'I didn't get there fast enough.' So, I was like, 'Crap' [and] thinking about it, and I was like, 'If I get that again …' And then I knew it had to be an in-breaking route, so I said, 'I'm going to just run,' and then I ran. I couldn't believe it; I saw it. I was like, 'Crap, let me stick this arm out,' and that's what happened," Smith said.

Smith wasn't the only player making one-handed catches as both Likely and fullback Patrick Ricard made one-handed touchdown catches. Odell Beckham Jr. wasn't left out and made a "vintage Odell" sideline catch in the second quarter to set up another touchdown.

"Just make the play. To me, it feels like a routine play that there's no way I shouldn't make (it). You have to make the most of your opportunities. There are so many people to feed on this team. (You) never know when it's going to spin to you, so (I'm) just finding a way to make the most of my opportunities whenever they come. I have to take a look back at it again; I didn't even know why we were reviewing it. I thought it was a for sure (catch)," Beckham said.

The Ravens will have to wait to see how the rest of the AFC playoff picture develops but they have guaranteed at least one home playoff game.

Up Next

The Ravens will host the Pittsburgh Steelers in a divisional matchup that will have no effect on the Ravens playoff seeding in a meaningless game for them. They will most likely sit most of their starters as they try to get healthy for a long playoff run.


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Ravens dismantle Dolphins in 56-19 blowout to clinch AFC top seed - WBAL TV Baltimore
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Saturday, December 30, 2023

What the OG Anunoby trade means for the Knicks and Raptors - Yahoo Sports

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What the OG Anunoby trade means for the Knicks and Raptors - Yahoo Sports
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‘Saturday Night Football’ Week 17 expert picks and predictions: Lions at Cowboys - Pride Of Detroit

With the College Football Playoffs kicking off on Monday night (January 1, 2024), the NFL is shifting its typical “Monday Night Football” broadcast to Saturday night and featuring the Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys. The good folks over at DraftKings Sportsbook are favoring the Cowboys in this game, but you can see what the Pride of Detroit staff thinks in the sections below.

If you missed them during the week, here are a few game previews Pride of Detroit has published, breaking down the game in a litany of ways, including 5 Keys to Victory (from Erik Schlitt), On Paper preview (Jeremy Reisman), early week preview (Brandon Knapp), 5 Questions preview (Ryan Mathews), and many more unique articles to enjoy.

How to watch: Lions at Cowboys

Date: Saturday, December 30, 2023
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
TV: ABC/ESPN
Announcers: Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, and Lisa Salters (field reporter)
Note: ESPN2 Manningcast returns for the Wild Card round of the playoffs
Online Stream/Replay: ESPN+, ESPN APP, NFL+ Premium

POD predictions via Tallysight:

POD score predictions:

Brandon Knapp (13-2): 31-27 Cowboys
Ryan Mathews (11-4): 35-28 Cowboys
Jerry Mallory (11-3): 31-27 Lions
Alex Reno (11-4): 24-21 Cowboys
Kellie Rowe (11-4): Lions
Meko Scott (11-4): 34-27 Lions
Jeremy Reisman (11-4): 34-31 Lions (On Paper preview)
Morgan Cannon (10-5): 38-34 Lions
Erik Schlitt (10-5): 35-31 Lions (5 keys preview)
Kyle Yost (10-5): Lions
Hamza Baccouche (9-6): 41-32 Cowboys
John Whiticar (8-7): 37-30 Lions
Chris Perfett (0-0-15): 91-91 Tie

POD reader poll

Now it’s your time to make your predictions. Vote in the poll below and share your score predictions in the comment section below.

Poll

Who wins on Saturday night?

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    Lions
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    Cowboys
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0 votes total Vote Now

Enjoy the games and come chat with us in the comments!

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‘Saturday Night Football’ Week 17 expert picks and predictions: Lions at Cowboys - Pride Of Detroit
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Friday, December 29, 2023

Russell Wilson, benched for rest of season, to back up Jarrett Stidham in Week 17; Veteran QB set to be cut - CBS Sports

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The Broncos lost any realistic shot at making the playoffs by falling to the Patriots on Sunday, giving them a 7-8 record -- and just a 1.4% chance of reaching the postseason -- with 2023 winding down. Now they're benching quarterback Russell Wilson for the final two games, as he'll serve as the backup to Jarrett Stidham, per head coach Sean Payton, starting with the Chargers game on Sunday

The Broncos insist the decision to turn to Stidham is meant to provide an offensive "spark" after a 1-3 stretch -- that it has nothing to do with the QB's contract, per CBS Sports HQ Senior NFL insider Josina Anderson. But the writing is on the wall: Wilson had recently sidestepped questions about his future in Denver beyond 2023, while an injury in the final two games would've prevented the Broncos from seamlessly releasing the QB after the season, should the team desire to move on.

Why did Payton make the move from Wilson to Stidham? 

"I can tell you, look, we're desperately trying to win," the head coach said, via 9News Sports in Denver. "The No. 1 push behind this, and it's a decision I'm making, is to provide a spark offensively. Obviously it's difficult, and all of us feel like 'man, we didn't do well enough,' but one of the things we saw when we signed Stidham in the offseason, not only from preseason games but regular-season games, but he's a guy I'm excited to see play. 

"If I didn't feel like he gave us the chance to win, we wouldn't be making that move." 

Per The Athletic, Wilson is expecting to be cut in March. He reportedly knew of his fate with the organization for nearly two months. The Broncos reached out to Wilson's representatives in late October if he did not defer the injury guarantee trigger date that he has for 2025 -- which is $37 million guaranteed on the fifth day of the league year. 

Wilson has certainly improved on his erratic 2022 Broncos debut, leaving Week 16 with 26 touchdowns, eight interceptions and a 98.0 passer rating -- his best in three years. But Denver's offense has struggled overall, ranking No. 16 in scoring and No. 25 in yards per game. And then there's the QB's lucrative contract, a $245 million whopper set to count $35.4M against the 2024 salary cap.

Might Payton and the Broncos' relatively new ownership group already prefer to hit the reset button under center? Sure. Again, while Wilson was improved this year, he's 35 and very expensive (No. 5 among annual QB earners). But can Denver move on? Is it even possible for Payton and Co. to get out of Wilson's deal following the 2023 season?

The answer is yes, but it likely won't save Denver much money in the short term.

Here are the details: Wilson is currently signed through 2028, but he's only guaranteed money through 2024. That said, his entire 2025 salary ($37M) will be guaranteed if he remains on the Broncos' roster at the start of the next league year (March 17), per Over the Cap. So it's probable Denver will make a decision on the QB's future before then.

The options: The Broncos can outright release Wilson by March 17, but doing so would actually result in a loss of $49.6M in 2024. Denver is already projected to be at least $18M over the 2024 cap, so cutting him straight-up wouldn't be logical. Designating him a post-June 1 release, however, is a distinct possibility. In that scenario, Denver would eat Wilson's 2024 salary ($35.4M) but actually avoid any financial blow to the 2024 cap. In other words, they'd save nothing immediately, but millions beyond 2024.

The other option, which is far more unlikely: trading Wilson. It's not that the QB wouldn't have any market; odds are he's restored some of his value to other NFL teams after bouncing back from 2022. But a trade before June 1 would result in an immediate loss of $32.6M against the Broncos' 2024 cap. Denver could deal him after June 1 to save $17M -- the best-case financial scenario for splitting with the QB -- but that would require waiting until the summer, well after the start of free agency, to find a trade partner.

The other factor in all of this: Wilson's health for the remainder of 2023. Injured players cannot be outright released -- without a negotiated injury settlement, at least -- so that explains Denver's benching of Wilson for the final two games. The Raiders notably demoted former starter Derek Carr, who had a similar injury guarantee in his contract, at the end of 2022 before releasing him in the offseason. But Carr's benching all but guaranteed an eventual breakup; that appears to be happening in Denver.

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Russell Wilson, benched for rest of season, to back up Jarrett Stidham in Week 17; Veteran QB set to be cut - CBS Sports
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Fantasy Football Week 17: Three WR/CB matchups to target and avoid | Fantasy Football News, Rankings and Projections - Pro Football Focus

• WR Gabe Davis, Buffalo Bills vs. CB Alex Austin, New England Patriots: Davis’ downfield role should be featured in Buffalo’s Week 17 game plan.

• WR Drake London, Atlanta Falcons vs. CB Jaylon Johnson, Chicago Bears: Atlanta’s league-low passing volume combined with Chicago’s talented cornerback corps make London a shaky WR3.

• Dominate your fantasy league in 2023: For up-to-date fantasy draft rankings and projections, check out PFF’s fantasy rankings tool!

Estimated Reading Time: 11 minutes


Knowing when an NFL wide receiver has an advantageous or disadvantageous cornerback matchup is critical for fantasy football start-sit decisions. This article details six players to be started with confidence or avoided at all costs, thanks in part to their primary defensive counterpart for Week 17.

WR:CB Matchup Chart


WR Gabe Davis, Buffalo Bills vs. CB Alex Austin, New England Patriots

Davis scored 1.10 half-points-per-reception points against New England in Week 7, finishing as the WR88, but New England’s expected Week 17 starting secondary includes just three of seven starters and/or impactful rotational backups from that game. New England’s defensive losses, league-worst pass rush, league-best run defense and new Buffalo offensive coordinator Joe Brady’s willingness to target weaknesses set the stage for a high-volume, fruitful outing for Davis.

Among 60 NFL wide receivers with at least 25 targets thrown 12-plus yards downfield, Davis’ 91.4 PFF receiving grade on such plays ranks 26th and his 25.6 yards per reception ranks 15th. Davis has week-winning upside as a WR3.

FanDuel implies Buffalo will score 27.0 points as 13.5-point home favorites.

Key potential absences for New England’s secondary include starting free safety Jabrill Peppers (multi-week hamstring strain) and utility interior coverage defender Jalen Mills (NFL concussion protocol). The unit has also lost multiple perimeter cornerbacks to injured reserve and/or off-field issues. Peppers’ 80.7 PFF coverage grade ranks 11th among 64 NFL safeties with at least 315 coverage snaps, and Mills’ 52.4 PFF coverage grade ranks second among three New England safeties with at least 100 coverage snaps.

The table below ranks in parentheses New England’s expected starting secondary players, including perimeter cornerback Jonathan Jones’ coverage data among 64 cornerbacks with at least 270 perimeter-coverage snaps, safety Kyle Dugger’s coverage data among 64 safeties with at least 315 coverage snaps and slot cornerback Myles Bryant’s slot coverage data among 33 cornerbacks with at least 180 slot-coverage snaps. Fill-in strong safety Marte Mapu and fill-in perimeter cornerback Alex Austin’s coverage data is left unranked due to their limited samples.

PFF Coverage Grade Notable Coverage Stat
CB Jonathan Jones 78.2 (No. 13) 56.4% Catch % Allowed (No. 19)
FS Kyle Dugger 49.5 (T-No. 60) 1.5% Explosive Pass Plays Allowed % (No. 43)
SS Marte Mapu 54.3 3.5% Explosive Pass Plays Allowed %
Slot CB Myles Bryant 61.6 (T-No. 21) 78.0% Catch % Allowed (No. 25)
CB Alex Austin 55.4 2.9% Explosive Pass Plays Allowed %

New England head coach Bill Belichick frequently tasks Jones with covering the opposition’s downfield wide receiver, but as evidenced by Davis’ 30 Week 7 receiving snaps away from Jones, this assignment is not ironclad. Davis should have ample opportunity to pick on Austin, a seventh-round rookie, playing without Peppers’ assistance.

PFF’s OL/DL matchup chart gives Buffalo a 15.0% pass-blocking matchup advantage rating, Week 17’s sixth-best mark. New England ranks dead last in pass-rush win rate (34.6%), 27th in quarterback pressure rate (31.7%) and 26th in pass-rush productivity (24.6).

New England’s run defense ranks first in both success rate allowed (29.3%) and expected points added allowed per play (-0.213).

Brady’s playcalling skews heavily toward the opposition’s schematic weakness. He called a season-high 49 run plays against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 15 and organized the Week 16 passing game around the Los Angeles Chargers’ permissive downfield coverage. Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen’s 12.7-yard Week 16 average depth of target is a season-high figure.

New England’s elite run defense, league-worst pass rush and spackled secondary should facilitate comfortable pockets for Allen, allowing ample time for Davis’ downfield routes to develop. Allen is an elite all-around quarterback but excels on unpressured dropbacks.

Among 40 NFL quarterbacks with at least 100 unpressured dropbacks, Allen’s 93.1 PFF passing grade ties for first. He ranks 13th or better in big-time-throw rate (5.2%), turnover-worthy play rate (1.8%), yards per passing attempt (7.9) and adjusted completion rate (80.6%).

Davis has week-winning upside as a Week 17 WR3.


WR Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints vs. CB Christian Izien, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New Orleans’ No. 1 wide receiver is a half-PPR WR1 thanks to Tampa Bay’s blitz-heavy defensive tactics and shaky coverage unit.

PFF’s OL/DL matchup chart gives New Orleans a -26.0% pass-blocking matchup advantage rating, but edge rusher Shaq Barrett, whose 84.3 PFF pass-rush grade ranks in the top 12 among 64 NFL edge rushers with at least 260 pass-rushing snaps, is unlikely to play due to a strained groin.

As detailed in Week 17’s “QB Matchups, Streamer of the Week, Rankings and More,” Tampa Bay’s blitz-dependent pass rush will frequently commit extra defenders to pursue New Orleans quarterback Derek Carr, including stud safety Antoine Winfield Jr., whose 92.8 PFF pass-rush grade on blitzes ranks first among 35 linebackers, cornerbacks and safeties with at least 55 blitzing pass-rush snaps. The veteran Carr is entirely unafraid to fire downfield in these situations, with his 9.3-yard average depth of target when blitzed ranking fourth among 27 quarterbacks with at least 100 blitzed dropbacks.

Removing Winfield from coverage will prove costly against Olave, who is one among eight NFL wide receivers to earn at least 50 targets on blitzed dropback. His 2.53 yards per route run on such targets ranks third. Among 64 NFL safeties with at least 315 coverage snaps, Winfield’s 85.3 PFF coverage grade ranks fifth and Tampa Bay’s cornerbacks possess glaring deficiencies.

PFF’s WR/CB matchup chart gives Olave an excellent 85.9 receiving matchup advantage rating against Tampa Bay’s cornerback corps, Week 17’s sixth best. Olave runs routes lined up in the slot pre-snap at a 39.7% plurality rate, followed by a 37.8% wide-right rate and a 21.5% wide-left rate, giving him complete access to the Buccaneers' secondary.

Christian Izien’s 65.0 PFF slot-coverage grade ranks 20th among 33 cornerbacks with at least 180 slot-coverage snaps. His 76.1% catch rate allowed ranks 24th and his 10 explosive pass plays allowed tie for the second-highest sum.

Tampa Bay No. 1 cornerback Jamel Dean will likely be sidekicked by backup perimeter cornerback Zyon McCollum. No. 2 cornerback Carlton Davis III is in the NFL’s concussion protocol. Among 64 cornerbacks with at least 270 perimeter coverage snaps, Dean ranks 49th or worse in catch rate allowed (67.3%), yards allowed per coverage snap (1.37) and explosive pass plays allowed rate (3.5%). McCollum defends against explosive gains marginally better, tying for 45th in the latter stat (3.2%).

As detailed in the aforementioned quarterback matchups article, Tampa Bay’s splash-zone coverage is among the league’s worst. And while Olave is not a voluminous splash-zone route runner, his 75.0% explosive pass play rate on splash=zone receptions ties for 13th among 38 wide receivers with at least 15 splash-zone targets.

Olave is a half-PPR WR1.


WR Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers vs. DB Josh Metellus, Minnesota Vikings

Green Bay slot receiver Jayden Reed logged “limited participant” practice designations on Wednesday and Thursday, signaling Week 17 activation following his Week 16 absence due to toe and chest injuries. Reed is a high-volume WR3 with high-end upside, thanks in part to his reduced target competition and Minnesota’s blitz-heavy defensive scheme. Among 32 NFL slot receivers with at least 180 slot-receiving snaps, Reed’s 69.8 PFF slot receiving grade ranks 11th.

The game’s 44.5-point FanDuel over/under ties for Week 17’s fifth highest. FanDuel implies Green Bay will score 21.5 points.

Green Bay Nos. 1 and 4 wide receivers Christian Watson (multi-week hamstring strain) and Dontayvion Wicks (chest and ankle injuries) are unable to practice and thus unlikely to play this week. Among four Green Bay wide receivers with at least 100 receiving snaps, Watson’s 70.6 PFF receiving grade ranks third and Wicks’ 75.8 PFF receiving grade ranks first. Reed’s 49 first-read targets rank second among Green Bay wide receivers, and his overall 22.5% target rate ranks first.

Reed is also Green Bay’s most voluminous target earner on blitzed dropbacks (29 targets), and his 4.6 yards after the catch per reception on blitzed dropbacks figure ranks first among expectedly active Green Bay wide receivers.

Reed will mostly face off against Vikings slot defensive back Josh Metellus, whose 59.4 PFF slot coverage grade ranks 27th among 38 defensive backs with at least 180 slot coverage snaps. Metellus ranks 35th in catch rate allowed (87.0%) and dead last in yards allowed per coverage snap (1.84) while tying for second worst in explosive pass plays allowed rate (3.7%).

Minnesota’s defense blitzes at the league’s highest rate, 55.2%.

Reed should have ample opportunities to pick up yards against Metellus, operating as the team’s primary weapon on blitzed dropbacks. He is a high-end WR3.


WR Drake London, Atlanta Falcons vs. CB Jaylon Johnson, Chicago Bears

Falcons No. 1 wide receiver Drake London is a shaky half-PPR WR3 against Chicago. Atlanta’s offensive commitment to the run coupled with the Bears' ascending secondary creates roadblocks to a high-scoring day for the second-year wide receiver. London’s 81.1 PFF receiving grade ranks 17th among 63 wide receivers with at least 360 receiving snaps.

The game’s 37.5-point FanDuel over/under ties for Week 17’s third lowest. FanDuel implies Atlanta will score 20.25 points.

Atlanta’s 54.4% passing rate ranks dead last in the NFL. The insufficient passing volume is further compounded by quarterback Taylor Heinicke’s lackluster arm. Among 46 NFL quarterbacks with at least 100 dropbacks, Heinicke ranks 26th or worse in average depth of target (7.9), yards per passing attempt (6.8) and big-time-throw rate (3.6%). His 62.7 PFF passing grade ranks 30th and his 70.2% adjusted completion rate ranks 40th.

Given London’s subpar offensive environment, high-volume usage is typically required for him to return WR3-plus value. His 21.1% target rate and 1.92 yards per route run figure rank 24th and 23rd, respectively, among 63 NFL wide receivers with at least 360 receiving snaps.

London’s non-elite target-earning profile bodes poorly for his impending matchup with Chicago’s No. 1 cornerback Jaylon Johnson, flanked by rotational perimeter cornerbacks Terell Smith (Week 17’s primary No. 2) and Tyrique Stevenson along with slot cornerback Kyler Gordon.

London runs routes lined up wide-left at a 44.9% pre-snap alignment plurality, followed by a 29.2% wide-right rate and a 25.8% slot rate.

Among 84 cornerbacks with at least 180 perimeter coverage snaps, Johnson ranks ninth in catch rate (50.0%), second in targeted rate (9.8%) and first in yards allowed per coverage snap (0.37), explosive pass plays allowed rate (0.4%) and PFF coverage grade (91.1). Smith’s 69.1 PFF perimeter coverage grade respectably ranks 36th, while Stevenson’s 59.1 mark ranks 75th.

Among 33 cornerbacks with at least 180 slot coverage snaps, Gordon’s 70.1 PFF slot coverage grade ranks 13th.

London is unlikely to return high-end WR3 value.


WR Demario Douglas, New England Patriots vs. CB Taron Johnson, Buffalo Bills

New England slot receiver Demario Douglas entices with excellent per-route efficiency but is unable to deliver week-winning results and now faces a tough one-on-one matchup with Buffalo slot cornerback Taron Johnson. Douglas’ 74.6 PFF slot receiving grade ties for eighth among 37 wide receivers with at least 170 slot receiving snaps, and Johnson’s 81.4 PFF slot coverage grade ranks third among 33 cornerbacks with at least 180 slot coverage snaps. Douglas is a low-ceiling half-PPR WR4.

FanDuel implies New England will score just 13.5 points.

PFF’s OL/DL matchup chart gives New England a -4.0% pass-blocking matchup advantage rating, boding poorly for inefficient quarterback Bailey Zappe. Among 46 NFL quarterbacks with at least 100 dropbacks, Zappe’s 59.5 PFF passing grade ranks 35th, while his 6.3 yards per passing attempt and 73.3% adjusted completion rate rank 36th and 29th, respectively.

PFF’s WR/CB matchup chart projects Douglas to face Johnson on 15 of 23 receiving snaps, giving Douglas a below-average 32.1 receiving matchup advantage rating.

Among 37 NFL wide receivers with at least 170 slot-receiving snaps, Douglas ranks in the top 10 in target rate (26.2%), yards per route run (1.97) and yards after the catch per reception (5.4) but ranks 19th or worse in average depth of target (8.8) and catch rate (64.4%).

Among 33 cornerbacks with at least 180 slot coverage snaps, Johnson’s 0.75 yards allowed per coverage snap figure ranks third and his 1.9% explosive pass plays allowed rate ranks 11th.

Douglas is a low-ceiling half-PPR WR4.


WR Alec Pierce, Indianapolis Colts vs. CB Amik Robertson, Las Vegas Raiders

Downfield wide receiver Alec Pierce was given an increased role following the Colts' Week 11 bye, earning at least six targets in three of five games and even producing a Week 13 WR1 finish. Pierce cannot be trusted to return usable results in Week 17 against Las Vegas’ elite perimeter cornerback tandem, Amik Robertson and in-season signee Jack Jones. Pierce’s 57.9 PFF receiving grade since Indianapolis’ Week 11 bye ranks fourth among Indianapolis wide receivers.

Among 66 cornerbacks with at least 50 perimeter coverage snaps in Weeks 14-16, Robertson’s 80.3 PFF perimeter coverage grade ties for sixth and Jones’ 90.4 PFF perimeter coverage grade ranks first.

PFF’s OL/DL matchup chart gives Indianapolis a -9.0% pass-blocking matchup advantage rating. As detailed in Week 17’s “QB Matchups, Streamer of the Week, Rankings and More,” Las Vegas’ pass rush will likely keep Indianapolis quarterback Gardner Minshew under duress. Among 46 quarterbacks with at least 100 dropbacks, Minshew’s 59.1 PFF passing grade ranks 36th.

Among 64 wide receivers with at least 65 perimeter receiving snaps in Weeks 12-16, Pierce ranks outside the top 50 in both target rate (13.5%) and yards per route run (1.08).

In the aforementioned period, Pierce has run routes lined up wide-left at a 46.3% pre-snap alignment plurality rate, followed closely by a 39.0% wide-right clip. Pierce will primarily face Robertson on Las Vegas’ defensive-right side, but Jones will also take his fair share of repetitions against Pierce on the left.

Among 66 cornerbacks with at least 50 perimeter coverage snaps in Weeks 14-16, Robertson ranks 24th in catch rate allowed (54.5%), 28th in yards allowed per coverage snap (0.86) and ninth in explosive pass plays allowed rate (1.1%). Jones ranks tied for 17th in catch rate allowed (46.2%), ninth in yards allowed per coverage snap (0.47) and 19th in explosive pass plays allowed rate (1.7%).

Pierce should not be started in 12-team leagues.

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Fantasy Football Week 17: Three WR/CB matchups to target and avoid | Fantasy Football News, Rankings and Projections - Pro Football Focus
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Thursday, December 28, 2023

Fantasy Football Week 17 Start 'Em & Sit 'Em: D'Andre Swift becomes a league winner, sleepers to play, more - CBS Sports

isiah-pacheco-cbs.jpg
USATSI

This is it. Week 17 is the championship round in the majority of Fantasy leagues, and you made it. Congratulations.

There's not much that I can tell you at this point in the season about strategy. You know what to do, and you know what works best for your Fantasy team.

Hopefully, your lineup is healthy and your players have great matchups. But we know that's not the case for everyone. Many of you have questions and concerns about players, and we'll help you with those final decisions.

This is the moment you've been waiting for, and you deserve to be in the championship. Now, go earn your trophy. Good luck.

Start of the Week
Projections powered by Sportsline

D'Andre Swift has been tough to trust in the second half of the season. He's hurt more than helped Fantasy managers heading into Week 17, but he has the chance for a big game in the championship round against Arizona. I like Swift as a No. 1 running back in all leagues, and he's my Start of the Week.

Let's start with the flaws for Swift. He comes into Week 17 with only two games with more than 9.5 PPR points since Week 10. He has only two receptions for 1 yard in his past three games. And he loses every short-yardage touchdown opportunity to Jalen Hurts because of the tush push.

But last week Swift took advantage of a good matchup against the Giants with 20 carries for 92 yards and a touchdown. He also had 18 carries for 74 yards at Seattle in Week 15, along with the two catches on three targets, and the Eagles are trying to make more of an effort to run the ball. It only makes sense to take pressure off Hurts.

This week, Swift should go off against Arizona. The Cardinals are No. 1 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs. There have been 16 running backs with at least 12.7 PPR points against Arizona this season, including four with at least 19.1 PPR points in the past five games.

The Cardinals are playing back-to-back road games in Week 17 and have to travel to the East Coast for a 1 p.m. start. This should be a tired defense facing a motivated offense in the Eagles, who are still in the hunt for the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

Swift has the chance to help Fantasy managers win a championship in Week 17. He's going to have one of his best games of the season against the Cardinals this week.

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START 'EM & SIT 'EM
Quarterbacks
QBs to Start
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Sleepers (Start/Sit)
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QBs to Sit
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Bust Alert (Start/Sit)
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START 'EM & SIT 'EM
Running Backs
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Bust Alert (Start/Sit)
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Wide Receivers
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Tight End
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START 'EM & SIT 'EM
DST
DST to Start

Bills (vs. NE)

The Bills defense was a disappointment in Week 16 at the Chargers with no turnovers and 22 points allowed, although Buffalo had five sacks. This week, the Bills defense should perform better against the Patriots at home. Buffalo has 13 sacks in the past three home games against Denver, the Jets and Dallas, and the Bills held the Cowboys and Jets to 16 total points in their past two games in Buffalo.

Rams (at NYG)
Raiders (at IND)
Texans (vs. TEN)

DST to Sit

Dolphins (at BAL)

The Ravens have scored at least 31 points in seven of their past nine games and only have two turnovers in the past five outings. The Dolphins DST is on fire right now with three touchdowns in the past five games, 10 sacks in the past two games and 20 points or less allowed in five of the past six outings, this should be a tough test on the road in trying to stop Lamar Jackson. This is a good week to avoid the Dolphins DST.

START 'EM & SIT 'EM
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Fantasy Football Week 17 Start 'Em & Sit 'Em: D'Andre Swift becomes a league winner, sleepers to play, more - CBS Sports
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at December 28, 2023 No comments:
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Labels: Sports

Wednesday, December 27, 2023

Fantasy Football Week 17 Start 'Em & Sit 'Em: D'Andre Swift becomes a league winner, sleepers to play, more - CBS Sports

isiah-pacheco-cbs.jpg
USATSI

This is it. Week 17 is the championship round in the majority of Fantasy leagues, and you made it. Congratulations.

There's not much that I can tell you at this point in the season about strategy. You know what to do, and you know what works best for your Fantasy team.

Hopefully, your lineup is healthy and your players have great matchups. But we know that's not the case for everyone. Many of you have questions and concerns about players, and we'll help you with those final decisions.

This is the moment you've been waiting for, and you deserve to be in the championship. Now, go earn your trophy. Good luck.

Start of the Week
Projections powered by Sportsline

D'Andre Swift has been tough to trust in the second half of the season. He's hurt more than helped Fantasy managers heading into Week 17, but he has the chance for a big game in the championship round against Arizona. I like Swift as a No. 1 running back in all leagues, and he's my Start of the Week.

Let's start with the flaws for Swift. He comes into Week 17 with only two games with more than 9.5 PPR points since Week 10. He has only two receptions for 1 yard in his past three games. And he loses every short-yardage touchdown opportunity to Jalen Hurts because of the tush push.

But last week Swift took advantage of a good matchup against the Giants with 20 carries for 92 yards and a touchdown. He also had 18 carries for 74 yards at Seattle in Week 15, along with the two catches on three targets, and the Eagles are trying to make more of an effort to run the ball. It only makes sense to take pressure off Hurts.

This week, Swift should go off against Arizona. The Cardinals are No. 1 in most Fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs. There have been 16 running backs with at least 12.7 PPR points against Arizona this season, including four with at least 19.1 PPR points in the past five games.

The Cardinals are playing back-to-back road games in Week 17 and have to travel to the East Coast for a 1 p.m. start. This should be a tired defense facing a motivated offense in the Eagles, who are still in the hunt for the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

Swift has the chance to help Fantasy managers win a championship in Week 17. He's going to have one of his best games of the season against the Cardinals this week.

Fantasy Football Today Newsletter

Know What Your Friends Don't

Get tips, advice and news to win your league - all from the FFT podcast team.

Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe.

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Keep an eye on your inbox.

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START 'EM & SIT 'EM
Quarterbacks
QBs to Start
Projections powered by Sportsline
Sleepers (Start/Sit)
Projections powered by Sportsline
QBs to Sit
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Bust Alert (Start/Sit)
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START 'EM & SIT 'EM
Running Backs
RBs to Start
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Sleepers (Start/Sit)
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Wide Receivers
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Tight End
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Sleepers (Start/Sit)
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TEs to Sit
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Bust Alert (Start/Sit)
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START 'EM & SIT 'EM
DST
DST to Start

Bills (vs. NE)

The Bills defense was a disappointment in Week 16 at the Chargers with no turnovers and 22 points allowed, although Buffalo had five sacks. This week, the Bills defense should perform better against the Patriots at home. Buffalo has 13 sacks in the past three home games against Denver, the Jets and Dallas, and the Bills held the Cowboys and Jets to 16 total points in their past two games in Buffalo.

Rams (at NYG)
Raiders (at IND)
Texans (vs. TEN)

DST to Sit

Dolphins (at BAL)

The Ravens have scored at least 31 points in seven of their past nine games and only have two turnovers in the past five outings. The Dolphins DST is on fire right now with three touchdowns in the past five games, 10 sacks in the past two games and 20 points or less allowed in five of the past six outings, this should be a tough test on the road in trying to stop Lamar Jackson. This is a good week to avoid the Dolphins DST.

START 'EM & SIT 'EM
KICKERS
Kicker to Start
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Sleepers (Start/Sit)
Projections powered by Sportsline
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Fantasy Football Week 17 Start 'Em & Sit 'Em: D'Andre Swift becomes a league winner, sleepers to play, more - CBS Sports
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Labels: Sports

Tuesday, December 26, 2023

Giants-Eagles ‘Kudos & Wet Willies’: Almost a miracle edition - Big Blue View

There was no Christmas Miracle for the New York Giants on Monday. They did, though, give the Philadelphia Eagles all they could handle in a 33-25 loss. Let’s review in our unique ‘Kudos & Wet Willies’ style.

Kudos to ...

Saquon Barkley — The star running back did everything he could, with 23 carries for 80 yards. That’s just 3.5 yards per carry, but Barkley did what he could with the limited space the Giants’ blocking gave him to run in.

Adoree’ Jackson — The veteran cornerback has not had a great season, and we have seen him drop a handful of interceptions during his time with the Giants. Monday, though, he held on when he got his hands on a Jalen Hurts throw and turned it into a 76-yard pick six.

Jackson also had a pair of passes defensed.

Mason Crosby — Straight off the couch, the 39-year-old Crosby drilled a 52-yard field goal in his first attempt of the season. Good for him. It was also the first field goal attempt of his 17-year career for someone other than the Green Bay Packers.

Isaiah Simmons — Started the Giants’ second-half comeback by knocking a Philadelphia blocker into kickoff returner Boston Scott, forcing a fumble, then recovering it at the Eagles’ 14-yard line to set up a touchdown. It is easy to wonder why Simmons, with all of his athletic ability, isn’t more than a sometimes useful part-time player, but there are times when he makes spectacular plays. This was one.

Darius Slayton — Had 90 receiving yards on three receptions, including a 69-yard touchdown catch and run. Slayton isn’t a true No. 1 receiver, but he is heading toward leading the Giants in receiving yards for the fourth time in five NFL seasons. He deserved credit for that.

Aaron Judge — What’s the New York Yankees star doing here? This:

Heard this last week + Tommy DeVito just confirmed with @PSchrags on @NFLonFOX pregame: he was out for dinner in NYC, saw Aaron Judge at another table and, at end of his meal, he was told by server Judge had picked up his tab.
DeVito was stunned Judge knew who he was.
#NYGiants

— Art Stapleton (@art_stapleton) December 25, 2023

Pretty cool gesture from the Yankee superstar.

Wet Willies to ...

Jamie Gillan — I hate giving this to Gillan, a left-footed punter who was punting with an injured and, per the broadcast, heavily wrapped left groin. Still, he is a professional athlete and if you go to post you are expected to be able to do your job.

Gillan’s first two punts were poor. The first was a low kick returned 54 yards by Britain Covey to set up the Eagles’ first score. The second was a bouncing 31-yard shank Covey returned 12 yards to the Philly 48-yard line to set up a three-play, 52-yard touchdown drive.

Gillan averaged just 39.5 yards per punt with a 23.0 yards per punt net average. He obviously wasn’t right Sunday.

Tommy DeVito — Couldn’t get the Giants’ offense going. Averaged 1.3 yards depth of target on his throws. Got pulled at the end of the first half. That big thud you heard at the start of the third quarter Monday was DeVito-mania crashing back to earth.

Kayvon Thibodeaux — The second-year edge defender has had an excellent season with 11.5 sacks, but this was a second consecutive no-show for Thibodeaux. His stat line consisted of one quarterback hit. No tackles. No sacks. Nothing else. Against the New Orleans Saints a week ago, Thibodeaux managed just one tackle.

Azeez Ojulari — Another quiet game for Ojulari in a season filled with them. He had one tackle in 57 snaps. The lack of production from Thibodeaux and Ojulari tells you a lot about why the Giants had just one sack and three quarterback hits.

Kwillies to ...

Tyrod Taylor — The veteran quarterback brought energy to the Giants in the second half. He hit some big passes, including a gorgeous 69-yard touchdown strike to Darius Slayton. Unfortunately, though, Taylor missed some throws that needed to be — and should have been — made.

He missed a wide open Saquon Barkley on third-and-4 at the Eagles’ 45-yard line in the third quarter. That led to the phantom false start on Giants’ center John Michael Schmitz and a punt.

On third-and-1 at the Eagles’ 42-yard line Taylor rolled left and missed an open Darren Waller, who had room to run. Taylor was pressured, but the ball was well short. The Giants then failed on fourth-and-1, with Taylor off the mark on a quick throw to Wan’Dale Robinson.

Taylor also overshot an open Robinson on the Giants’ final drive, perhaps giving them fewer shots at a game-tying score.

Taylor finished 7 of 16 for 133 yards with a touchdown and an interception, which came on the game’s final play.

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Giants-Eagles ‘Kudos & Wet Willies’: Almost a miracle edition - Big Blue View
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